Bangladesh stands at a perilous juncture, with alarming reports suggesting that the interim government led by Dr. Muhammad Yunus is orchestrating a sinister plan to form a militia force, potentially to ignite a civil war and derail the February 2026 elections. This analysis, drawing on recent articles and intelligence reports, examines the growing influence of extremist groups, communal forces, and Pakistan-backed jihadists, particularly through the National Citizen Party (NCP) and Jamaat-e-Islami, under the Yunus regime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The convergence of these forces, coupled with alleged US geopolitical manoeuvring, raises profound concerns about Bangladesh\u2019s sovereignty, secular identity, and regional stability. This analysis explores the multifaceted threats posed by these developments, including the manipulation of electoral processes, the destabilisation of the Bangladesh Army, and the resurgence of jihadist ideologies with the potential to inflame communal tensions and provoke conflict with India.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Reports suggest that the Yunus administration is training 8,850 youths in firearms, karate, judo, and taekwondo at seven centres, as announced by NCP leader and Youth and Sports Adviser Asif Mahmud Sajeeb Bhuyain<\/a>. This move, described as a \u201csinister blueprint\u201d to orchestrate chaos, is allegedly designed to cancel the upcoming elections and cement Yunus\u2019 grip on power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The NCP, portrayed as Yunus\u2019 \u201cprivate militia,\u201d is accused of being a tool to replicate the violent July 2024 uprising that ousted Sheikh Hasina\u2019s government. The discovery of AK-47 ammunition in Asif\u2019s luggage at an airport and NCP\u2019s conflict with the Election Commission over its \u201cShapla\u201d symbol further fuel suspicions of a deliberate strategy to sow anarchy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Jihadists wage war against ISKCON after police clear two Hindus of rape charges<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Advocate Fazlur Rahman: Yunus is the new dictator, patronising Jamaat, NCP<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n The NCP\u2019s demand for the Shapla symbol, coupled with threats to boycott registration without it, signals an intent to disrupt the electoral process. Nasiruddin Patwari, NCP\u2019s chief coordinator, provocatively questioned the feasibility of a fair election in February amidst \u201cburning\u201d airports and public insecurity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n This rhetoric aligns with broader allegations that Yunus is engineering NCP\u2019s political irrelevance to justify delaying or cancelling polls, mirroring tactics seen in post-Arab Spring civil wars in Syria, Libya, and Yemen, where internal chaos paved the way for foreign intervention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The NCP\u2019s actions are deeply intertwined with the resurgence of Jamaat-e-Islami and its student wing, Islami Chhatra Shibir, both of which are accused of collaborating with Pakistan\u2019s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) and global jihadist networks. Jamaat\u2019s history as a collaborator in the 1971 genocide, coupled with its current push for an Islamic state, poses a grave threat to Bangladesh\u2019s secular fabric.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Dr. Shafiqur Rahman\u2019s October 22, 2025, apology for Jamaat\u2019s actions since 1947, deliberately vague about 1971, is widely seen as a tactical manoeuvre to sanitise the party\u2019s image without addressing its war crimes. This apology, echoed by former leaders like Ghulam Azam, lacks a formal party resolution, undermining its sincerity and fueling public scepticism.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Jamaat\u2019s Nayeb-e-Amir, Dr. Syed Abdullah Mohammad Taher, escalated tensions by declaring a potential \u201cGhazwa-e-Hind\u201d against India, claiming 50 lakh youths would fight as \u201ctrue freedom fighters\u201d to erase Jamaat\u2019s 1971 stigma. Speaking in New York on September 27, 2025, Taher\u2019s rhetoric, invoking guerrilla warfare and Islamic prophecies, signals a dangerous shift toward communal mobilisation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n List of agreements with India, posted by Asif Mahmud, is false, says foreign adviser<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Mahishasura\u2019s beard censored in Bangladesh, India\u2019s Yunus satire sparks outrage<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Jamaat leader Taher warns of jihad against India from New York event<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n His proposal to fund economic schemes with Zakat, potentially diverting billions to militant activities, and Jamaat\u2019s advocacy for a Jizya tax on Hindus, as articulated by Shafiqur, further inflame communal tensions. These moves threaten to marginalise Bangladesh\u2019s Hindu minority and destabilise interfaith harmony, reminiscent of historical pogroms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The NCP, often labelled Jamaat\u2019s \u201cB-team,\u201d amplifies these communal threats. Its demand for mandatory armed youth training, as voiced by Nahid Islam, echoes the rhetoric of banned groups like Ansar al-Islam and Hizb ut-Tahrir, which advocate jihad against India and envision a \u201cGreater Bangladesh\u201d encompassing parts of India\u2019s Seven Sisters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The display of a \u201cSaltanat-e-Bangla\u201d map at Dhaka University, backed by a Turkish NGO, underscores foreign involvement in stoking territorial ambitions. These actions, combined with NCP\u2019s alleged role in orchestrating violence during the 2024 uprising, suggest a concerted effort to radicalise youth and provoke communal strife.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pakistan-Backed Jihadist Blueprint<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Pakistan\u2019s ISI is a central player in this unfolding crisis, leveraging Jamaat and NCP to advance its anti-India agenda. Retired Brigadier General Abdullahil Amaan Azmi, son of war criminal Ghulam Azam, and Major Syed Ziaul Haque, an al-Qaeda-linked jihadist, are accused of forming an Islamic Revolutionary Army (IRA) to undermine the Bangladesh Army.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Azmi, who resurfaced in August 2024, allegedly collaborates with pro-Pakistani officers like Lieutenant General Kamrul Hasan and ISI officials in Dhaka\u2019s Mohakhali DOHS office. Intelligence reports indicate Azmi and Zia are training Rohingya refugees and stranded Pakistanis as suicide squads for attacks in India\u2019s northeast and Myanmar\u2019s Rakhine State, supported by arms shipments from Karachi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The ISI\u2019s blueprint, as detailed in The Daily Republic, aims to weaken Army Chief General Waker-Uz-Zaman and install Azmi, who rejects Bangladesh\u2019s secular symbols, as a pro-Pakistan leader.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Jihadists blueprint to sabotage Durga Puja in Bangladesh and India<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Report: Militants planned siege of Indian High Commission in Dhaka<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Brig Azmi\u2019s Dark Plan: Islamizing army, unleashing suicide squads on India<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari\u2019s celebration of Hasina\u2019s ouster and admissions by Lashkar-e-Tayyiba and Jama\u2019at-ut-Dawa of their role in the 2024 coup highlight Pakistan\u2019s vested interest in destabilising Bangladesh. The Yunus regime\u2019s inaction against jailbreaks freeing thousands of militants and its release of figures like Jasimuddin Rahmani further suggest complicity in this jihadist resurgence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Hefazat-e-Islam, another ISI-backed group, has formed a jihadist alliance under leaders like Mufti Harun Izhar and Muhibullah Babunagari, with meetings involving interim government advisor Asif Nazrul, an alleged ISI agent. These alliances, coupled with Turkish support for groups like \u201cSaltanat-e-Bangla,\u201d indicate a broader Islamist network aiming to transform Bangladesh into a hub for regional jihad, threatening both India and Myanmar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n US Geopolitical Manoeuvring and Civil War Fears<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The United States, pursuing its Indo-Pacific strategy, is accused of enabling this chaos to counter China\u2019s influence. Joint military exercises like \u201cPacific Angel 25-3\u201d and the delivery of RQ-21 Blackjack drones signal increased US presence in Chittagong, a strategic hub near Myanmar and India\u2019s northeast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The mysterious death of US Green Beret Terence Arvel Jackson in Dhaka, reportedly involved in training Rohingya militants, fuels speculation of CIA involvement in destabilising operations. Critics argue that Yunus, backed by US-funded NGOs and the National Endowment for Democracy, is implementing an \u201cArab Spring\u201d model to provoke civil war, mirroring Syria and Libya, where internal strife justified foreign intervention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The ICT-BD trials of 15 army officers, initiated on October 8, 2025, for alleged crimes during the 2024 riots, are seen as a US-Jamaat-ISI ploy to weaken the army\u2019s pro-liberation core. These trials, bypassing the Army Act of 1952, violate constitutional norms and target officers like Major General Sheikh Md. Sarwar Hossain for their role in suppressing Jamaat-orchestrated violence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n NCP preparing for Turkish-style armed jihad in Bangladesh, assault on India<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n India alarmed by Turkey-backed Greater Bangladesh propaganda<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n